“,”type”:”raw_html”},{“_id”:”SZCHQSRXCVE5LCBPRK2DS634IM”,”additional_properties”:{},”content”:”Esse argumento coincide com a análise da Bloomberg Intelligence. O especialista Davison Santana explicou que o real brasileiro e o peso colombiano continuam se destacando entre as moedas emergentes, pois combinam altos rendimentos com uma relação entre retorno e risco que continua sendo uma das mais atraentes do universo emergente, mesmo após os fortes ganhos acumulados.”,”type”:”text”},{“_id”:”X3NXDMCQZVFUNH6MSQDJ3ES22U”,”additional_properties”:{},”content”:”O carry trade e as commodities”,”level”:3,”type”:”header”},{“_id”:”D6IEIEDRN5AVJMFEEJLMABO2DA”,”additional_properties”:{},”content”:”A moeda que mais se valorizou no mês foi o peso colombiano. Além da desvalorização do dólar, os analistas apontam uma combinação de taxas de juros elevadas, melhores perspectivas para o mercado de energia e um posicionamento ainda favorável entre os investidores internacionais.”,”type”:”text”},{“_id”:”UEHX3RYHXVCI3M35ETTQ4HHOGU”,”additional_properties”:{},”content”:”Santana afirma que “o real brasileiro e o peso colombiano continuam sendo as opções mais sólidas por uma ampla margem, tanto em termos de carry quanto de carry ajustado pela volatilidade”, embora alerte que ambas as moedas permanecem expostas a um eventual aumento das taxas de rendimento de longo prazo nos Estados Unidos.”,”type”:”text”},{“_id”:”SV4WZAEHYJE5LCW4TVVXINTJCY”,”additional_properties”:{},”content”:”A Goldman Sachs (GS) chega a uma conclusão semelhante. A instituição considera que o Brasil e a Colômbia continuam sendo as moedas emergentes mais atraentes para estratégias de carry e destaca que ambas também são favorecidas pela evolução dos preços da energia, embora reconheça que continuam sensíveis a uma mudança nas expectativas em relação à política monetária dos Estados Unidos.”,”type”:”text”},{“_id”:”BEQQ4T4NLBBEJODEKR2S4FKEJY”,”additional_properties”:{},”content”:”Leia também: Intralog busca independência da JSL e mira expansão para América Latina, diz CEO”,”type”:”text”},{“_id”:”H7RIKOYJFRDBPEWJ4LS34AYLYE”,”additional_properties”:{},”content”:”Na Colômbia, a Ebury atribui grande parte da valorização da moeda à confiança dos investidores na agenda econômica do novo governo, liderado pelo conservador Abelardo de la Espriella, e ao aperto monetário do banco central.”,”type”:”text”},{“_id”:”ASKBJUSIWZGZNL7P4X4YYDI34E”,”additional_properties”:{},”content”:”No entanto, ele também apresenta uma nuance.”,”type”:”text”},{“_id”:”YVPR2RWRGZAJHPAAUDDFWNBVGI”,”additional_properties”:{},”content”:”“Acreditamos que a alta atual possa ser excessiva. A vitória de De la Espriella, sem dúvida, impulsionou a confiança dos investidores, e prevemos que as altas taxas de juros reais ofereçam suporte no curto prazo”, disse Barnuevo. “No entanto, acreditamos que a consolidação fiscal pode não atender às expectativas do mercado, dados os importantes obstáculos políticos existentes, que poderiam pôr fim ao atual período de lua de mel”.”,”type”:”text”},{“_id”:”FTGHPEVIM5CPBBPMFMWBKVR7PY”,”additional_properties”:{“fullSizeResizeUrl”:”/resizer/v2/FTGHPEVIM5CPBBPMFMWBKVR7PY.jpg?auth=8862143f9431405d03fcd883d4919a9ab26e8ddeba5ed82688e069318346e4e1″,”galleries”:[],”ingestionMethod”:”manual”,”mime_type”:”image/jpeg”,”originalName”:”shutterstock_1743674654.jpg”,”originalUrl”:”https://cloudfront-us-east-1.images.arcpublishing.com/bloomberglinea/FTGHPEVIM5CPBBPMFMWBKVR7PY.jpg”,”proxyUrl”:”/resizer/v2/FTGHPEVIM5CPBBPMFMWBKVR7PY.jpg?auth=8862143f9431405d03fcd883d4919a9ab26e8ddeba5ed82688e069318346e4e1″,”published”:true,”resizeUrl”:”/resizer/v2/FTGHPEVIM5CPBBPMFMWBKVR7PY.jpg?auth=8862143f9431405d03fcd883d4919a9ab26e8ddeba5ed82688e069318346e4e1″,”restricted”:false,”thumbnailResizeUrl”:”/resizer/v2/FTGHPEVIM5CPBBPMFMWBKVR7PY.jpg?auth=8862143f9431405d03fcd883d4919a9ab26e8ddeba5ed82688e069318346e4e1&width=300″,”version”:0,”template_id”:843,”alt_text”:”Peso colombiano”,”link”:””},”address”:{},”alt_text”:”Peso colombiano”,”auth”:{“1″:”8862143f9431405d03fcd883d4919a9ab26e8ddeba5ed82688e069318346e4e1″},”caption”:””,”created_date”:”2025-06-10T19:09:50Z”,”credits”:{“affiliation”:[{“name”:”Shutterstock”,”type”:”author”}],”by”:[{“byline”:”Shutterstock”,”name”:”Shutterstock”,”type”:”author”}]},”height”:3907,”image_type”:”photograph”,”last_updated_date”:”2025-06-10T19:09:50Z”,”licensable”:false,”owner”:{“id”:”bloomberglinea”,”sponsored”:false},”source”:{“additional_properties”:{“editor”:”photo center”},”edit_url”:””,”system”:”photo center”},”subtitle”:”Peso colombiano”,”taxonomy”:{“associated_tasks”:[]},”type”:”image”,”url”:”https://cloudfront-us-east-1.images.arcpublishing.com/bloomberglinea/FTGHPEVIM5CPBBPMFMWBKVR7PY.jpg”,”version”:”0.10.9″,”width”:5861,”syndication”:{},”creditIPTC”:”Shutterstock”},{“_id”:”FH3SWE2O5ZCMHPXGYCG5HFHQSQ”,”additional_properties”:{},”content”:”O Brasil também manteve uma posição de destaque durante o mês de julho. A Ebury afirma que “o real tem sido apoiado pelas altas taxas de juros e pelos preços do petróleo”, embora ressalte que a incerteza política e fiscal continuará sendo um fator relevante para a evolução da moeda.”,”type”:”text”},{“_id”:”C2X5G6MFB5EB5K5M63YTOS5VVU”,”additional_properties”:{},”content”:”Nem todas as moedas valorizaram pelos mesmos motivos”,”level”:3,”type”:”header”},{“_id”:”GEYXJ2ZR2FGYNH6JKQJ7RPBSAM”,”additional_properties”:{},”content”:”Embora a Colômbia e o Brasil tenham concentrado boa parte da atenção, outras moedas da região também encontraram apoio em fatores internos.”,”type”:”text”},{“_id”:”V4BUV7I43BHTBOKNXH7J5HMTHA”,”additional_properties”:{},”content”:”O guaraní paraguaio, a terceira moeda com melhor desempenho mensal, apresentou uma dinâmica diferente.”,”type”:”text”},{“_id”:”XDY3IWL24ZG5ROWBYHHRWTPHVM”,”additional_properties”:{},”content”:”De acordo, segundo a analista Ingrid Herrera, a política de intervenção cambial do Banco Central do Paraguai reduziu a liquidez em moeda local ao longo do ano, obrigando as instituições financeiras a vender dólares para obter guaranis e, ao mesmo tempo, diminuindo a demanda por moedas estrangeiras — uma combinação que fortaleceu a taxa de câmbio.”,”type”:”text”},{“_id”:”6EOXKOBJBRGGTMRMM5VZQHBBHE”,”additional_properties”:{},”content”:”O peso dominicano também figurou entre as moedas mais fortes de julho, graças a um fluxo de divisas observado ao longo do ano.”,”type”:”text”},{“_id”:”WIR2ZXKX2BBLVPKIU5KF5QNGPI”,”additional_properties”:{},”content”:”O economista Juan Mejía atribui o desempenho em 2026 ao dinamismo do turismo, às remessas, ao investimento estrangeiro direto, ao aumento do valor das exportações de ouro e a uma política monetária prudente que ajudou a manter a confiança do mercado.”,”type”:”text”},{“_id”:”32PYDAEISJHZ5CBNEFSMYPCWWE”,”additional_properties”:{},”content”:”No México, o avanço foi mais moderado. A Ebury espera que o peso continue se beneficiando da redução gradual da incerteza em torno da revisão do tratado comercial com os Estados Unidos e o Canadá, do processo de realocação de empresas e da relativa solidez da economia norte-americana.”,”type”:”text”},{“_id”:”V5WTFX6JXFDH5L5I4VXDYPWRKU”,”additional_properties”:{“fullSizeResizeUrl”:”/resizer/v2/V5WTFX6JXFDH5L5I4VXDYPWRKU.jpg?auth=393a91367d2888c4148c7a4cc5db0cd662c94c5aa59210d0ecd4599cd150069c”,”galleries”:[],”ingestionMethod”:”manual”,”iptc_job_identifier”:”775241539″,”iptc_source”:”Bloomberg”,”keywords”:[“americas”,”bills”,”currency”,”mexican”,”mexico”,”mexico economy”,”money”,”north american”],”mime_type”:”image/jpeg”,”originalName”:”400551951.jpg”,”originalUrl”:”https://cloudfront-us-east-1.images.arcpublishing.com/bloomberglinea/V5WTFX6JXFDH5L5I4VXDYPWRKU.jpg”,”proxyUrl”:”/resizer/v2/V5WTFX6JXFDH5L5I4VXDYPWRKU.jpg?auth=393a91367d2888c4148c7a4cc5db0cd662c94c5aa59210d0ecd4599cd150069c”,”published”:true,”resizeUrl”:”/resizer/v2/V5WTFX6JXFDH5L5I4VXDYPWRKU.jpg?auth=393a91367d2888c4148c7a4cc5db0cd662c94c5aa59210d0ecd4599cd150069c”,”restricted”:false,”takenOn”:”2018-09-22T16:53:06Z”,”thumbnailResizeUrl”:”/resizer/v2/V5WTFX6JXFDH5L5I4VXDYPWRKU.jpg?auth=393a91367d2888c4148c7a4cc5db0cd662c94c5aa59210d0ecd4599cd150069c&width=300″,”version”:0,”template_id”:843,”alt_text”:”Peso mexicano”,”link”:””},”address”:{“locality”:”Tepic”,”region”:”NY”},”alt_text”:”Peso mexicano”,”auth”:{“1″:”393a91367d2888c4148c7a4cc5db0cd662c94c5aa59210d0ecd4599cd150069c”},”caption”:”Mexican 500 peso banknotes depicting the image of Benito Juarez, Mexico’s former president, are arranged for a photograph in Tepic, Nayarit state, Mexico, on Saturday, Sept. 22, 2018. Mexico’s peso halted a three-day losing streak, briefly revisiting its 200-day moving average as the dollar index retreated after U.S. September inflation numbers undershot estimates.”,”copyright”:”© 2018 Bloomberg Finance LP”,”created_date”:”2023-10-11T03:19:10Z”,”credits”:{“affiliation”:[{“name”:”Bloomberg”,”type”:”author”}],”by”:[{“byline”:”Cesar Rodriguez”,”name”:”Cesar Rodriguez”,”type”:”author”}]},”height”:2670,”image_type”:”photograph”,”last_updated_date”:”2023-10-11T03:19:10Z”,”licensable”:false,”owner”:{“id”:”bloomberglinea”,”sponsored”:false},”slug”:”MEXICO PESO”,”source”:{“additional_properties”:{“editor”:”photo center”},”edit_url”:””,”system”:”photo center”},”subtitle”:”Mexico Peso Halts Three-Day Losing Streak”,”taxonomy”:{“associated_tasks”:[]},”type”:”image”,”url”:”https://cloudfront-us-east-1.images.arcpublishing.com/bloomberglinea/V5WTFX6JXFDH5L5I4VXDYPWRKU.jpg”,”version”:”0.10.9″,”width”:4000},{“_id”:”VKLLJRWE75D7XAIKGSLXLAVARQ”,”additional_properties”:{},”content”:”O Goldman Sachs, por sua vez, mantém uma visão favorável em relação ao carry trade do peso mexicano, embora alerte que ele continua sendo uma das moedas latino-americanas mais sensíveis a um eventual endurecimento da política monetária do Federal Reserve.”,”type”:”text”},{“_id”:”AN5MLS5HXBHC5FYYRTZ5IKIIQY”,”additional_properties”:{},”content”:”O sol peruano também encerrou julho com ganhos. A Ebury considera que a vitória eleitoral de Keiko Fujimori elimina um dos principais riscos políticos para a moeda e mantém uma visão positiva, graças aos sólidos fundamentos macroeconômicos e ao apoio que os altos preços do cobre continuam a oferecer.”,”type”:”text”},{“_id”:”KNCOW4JMOVG6NIARMPKBCYH5WE”,”additional_properties”:{},”content”:”O caso do peso chileno foi diferente. Embora tenha encerrado o mês com uma ligeira queda, os analistas consideram que parte dessa desvalorização se deveu à deterioração das expectativas em relação aos diferenciais de taxas em relação aos Estados Unidos e a uma economia que atravessa um período de menor crescimento.”,”type”:”text”},{“_id”:”QDHBHSZ72NBSDOBIEHHYU6N2AA”,”additional_properties”:{},”content”:”Mesmo assim, Barnuevo afirma que “os altos preços do cobre continuam sendo um fator estrutural de sustentação”, enquanto a BBVA FX Strategy mantém uma preferência pela compra de pesos chilenos quando o dólar registra altas.”,”type”:”text”},{“_id”:”LR52H4K6XVFEBNY4SXW6PA5SQ4″,”additional_properties”:{},”content”:”As demais moedas latino-americanas apresentaram oscilações mais moderadas. O colón da Costa Rica conseguiu encerrar julho com ganhos, o quetzal da Guatemala ficou praticamente estável, e o lempira de Honduras, o peso uruguaio e o peso argentino registraram recuos limitados, refletindo que o recente enfraquecimento do dólar não teve a mesma intensidade em toda a região.”,”type”:”text”},{“_id”:”WGMGEAUHUVHHLF5ZJZLUHYWJ64″,”additional_properties”:{},”content”:”Além do resultado de julho, os analistas concordam que a evolução das moedas latino-americanas continuará dependendo de duas variáveis principais: a trajetória do dólar após as próximas decisões do Federal Reserve e a capacidade de cada economia de manter os fatores internos que sustentaram suas moedas durante o mês.”,”type”:”text”}],”created_date”:”2026-07-31T12:25:40.069Z”,”credits”:{“by”:[{“_id”:”CarlosRodríguezSalcedo(PT)”,”type”:”author”,”version”:”0.5.8″,”name”:”Carlos Rodríguez Salcedo (BR)”,”org”:”Colombia”,”image”:{“url”:”https://author-service-images-prod-us-east-1.publishing.aws.arc.pub/bloomberglinea/6005aeea-3e86-424b-adb6-f8f9e993c399.png”,”version”:”0.5.8″},”description”:”Jornalista colombiano especializado em economia. 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